Ravens 2026 Probability Mock Draft
What are the odds?
Hello and welcome to the 2026 Probability Mock Draft series, where I take the most popular mock draft simulators and put them through rigorous testing to put a percentage number next to the players your team is most likely to take!
The rules are as follows:
I’ve run 65 simulated picks from six different mock draft simulators (NFL Mock Draft Database, Fanspeak, AtoZ Sports, Pro Football Network, ESPN Analytics, and Pro Football Focus). I collect the names and positions that appear the most in picks for that team, then I convert everything to percentages to create a draft night prediction based wholly on numbers.
As per usual, this year we are starting with the Baltimore Ravens!
We are just eight days away from the NFL Draft and what better time to drop some cold, hard data than on your Wednesday?
Let’s get started!
The Baltimore Ravens - Round 1, Pick 14
The last time, and only time, the Ravens selected a player at pick #14 was Kyle Hamilton in the 2022 NFL Draft, so it’s safe to say Baltimore is looking for a day one starter with immediate upside.
We’ll start with the positional breakdown:
So through all of the simulations, the position group that saw the highest volume of selections was the offensive line, which came out to a very high 36.9%.
Coming in second was defensive line and edge rusher, which came out to 27.7%.
The following players have the highest probability of becoming the newest member of the Baltimore Ravens:
Olaivavega Ioane - OG - Penn State
Ioane was selected 16.92% of the time by the Ravens in the 65 simulations
He was a 2nd-team All-American and 1st-team All-Big Ten in 2025
The Ravens desperately need assistance at guard despite signing John Simpson in free agency. The interior offensive line lacked any true bite and was a liability a majority of the time in 2025.
With the departure of Tyler Linderbaum, the Ravens could use a legitimate alpha out there protecting Lamar Jackson.
Rueben Bain - EDGE - Miami
Bain was selected 15.38% of the time by the Ravens in the 65 simulations
He was second-team Associated Press All-American. ACC Defensive Player of the Year, and first-team All-ACC in 2025
Much like the offensive line, the Ravens pass rush stunk. They lacked the consistent fuel to get to opposing quarterbacks. It remains to be seen what the team has in last year’s second round pick Mike Green, but if Bain is indeed selected by the Ravens, he immediately becomes the de facto starter for 2026.
Monroe Freeling - OT - Georgia
Freeling was selected 12.31% of the time by the Ravens in the 65 simulations
He was second-team All-SEC and started 13 games at left tackle
The Ravens’ offensive line is in dire need of overhaul. Opting to go with a tackle in the draft is a good choice despite the returning Ronnie Stanley. Stanley is starting to show signs of slowing down and even if he remains healthy in 2026, he might be on his way out. Securing a replacement would be prudent moving forward.
Honorable Mentions
A wide receiver was taken 18.5% of the time, however when split into the individual picks, the highest percentage player selected was Arizona State WR Jordyn Tyson (7.69%)
Cornerback only got 13.8% of the share, and Jermod McCoy (7.69%) out of Tennessee propped that number up. He rounded out the top five players in this probability mock.
Enjoy the draft!
- V